El estado de Baja California se ha destacado por su aumento en la llegada de inversión extranjera y nacional. Su posición geográfica, es una de las ventaja que han observado diversas empresas multinacionales, mismas que han decidido establecer sus operaciones de manufactura, logística y distribución en la región.

De acuerdo con el “Panorama Económico de Baja California”, realizado por la Secretaría de Economía e Innovación del estado, al cierre del 2021, el crecimiento de la actividad industrial fue de 12.7% en la entidad, hecho que la posicionó como el primer lugar de la frontera norte. Mientras que, al primer mes del 2022, el sector de la construcción creció 12.1 por ciento.

De igual forma, la dependencia, detalló que al 3T2021, los sectores con mayor crecimiento fueron las manufacturas (19.2%), el comercio (18.2%) y la minería (13.9%).

Inversión Extranjera Directa en Baja California 

En cuanto a la captación de Inversión Extranjera Directa (IED), la entidad se posicionó durante el mismo periodo, en el tercer lugar a nivel nacional, con 7%, solo por debajo de Nuevo León con 12.7% y CDMX con 16 por ciento.

“Se trata de un incremento del 85% respecto a 2020. De esta, el 45.7% se destinó al transporte de gas natural por ductos, seguida por la fabricación de automóviles y camiones (9.8%). Cabe mencionar que 8 de cada 10 dólares invertidos en B.C. provinieron de Estados Unidos (82.4%)”, se detalla en el documento.

Por su parte, la Secretaría de Economía Federal, destacó que la captación de IED del estado fue de 2 mil 212.8 millones de dólares, del cual 52.8% correspondió a nuevas inversiones.

Cabe destacar que la cifra total de IED, significa un récord para la entidad, ya que es la más alta registrada en 20 años.

Adquisición de vivienda en Baja California 

Otro de los sectores que han mostrado crecimiento en el estado, ha sido la adquisición de vivienda, principalmente por ciudadanos estadounidenses, que ante el aumento de costos en su país, buscan comprar alguna propiedad en la entidad.

El Comité de Turismo y Convenciones de Tijuana (Cotuco), explicó que el 40% de los inmuebles adquiridos en Tijuana, corresponden a personas del sur de California.

Por lo que en 2021, este sector dejó una derrama económica de 420 millones de dólares. Ante esto, Kurt Honold, secretario de Economía e Innovación de Baja California, informó que se busca continuar  impulsando este sector para que ciudadanos americanos, comiencen a comprar propiedades en la ciudad y no solo en las costas.

Arturo Gutiérrez Sánchez, presidente de Cotuco, explicó que los rubros económicos que crecieron durante la pandemia fueron el desarrollo habitacional, construcciones y turismo de salud.

 

Fuente: Monica Herrera, Inmobiliare

China dejó de ser el centro manufacturero para 15 empresas de origen alemán, japonés y estadounidense, las cuales invertirán los próximos dos años cerca de 400 millones de dólares en León y El Bajío de México.

Esa relocalización de la empresas obedece a la intención de cumplir con las nuevas reglas del Tratado entre México, Estados Unidos y Canadá (T-MEC), así como ya no pagar altos precios de transporte y dejar de depender de la industria marítima.

“Hay alrededor de entre 14 y 15 proyectos en cartera de inversión (de compañías alemanas, japonesas y estadounidenses) para el municipio de Guanajuato, pero no hay uno que sea particularmente de una empresa de China”, revela Guillermo Romero Pacheco, secretario para la Reactivación Económica de León.

Las empresas alemanas y japonesas aprovechan este momento para cumplir con las nuevas reglas comerciales del T-MEC, especialmente el contenido de integración del 75%, señala el funcionario del gobierno del municipio de León.

Mazda importaba algunas piezas y autopartes de Japón, China, Singapur y otros países de Asia, pero ahora sus proveedores y otras empresas aterrizarán en México para que “tengan el acta de nacimiento regional y cumplan con el factor de integración”, dice a Forbes México.

“Están llegando algunos proveedores de Asia a instalarse a León, pero son ligados a las mismas fábricas automotrices”, comenta el ex director general de la Coordinadora de Fomento al Comercio Exterior del Estado de Guanajuato.

Los proyectos en cartera representan una inversión de entre 350 millones de dólares hasta 400 millones de dólares, los cuales serán cerrados y amarrados en los próximos dos años, dice el economista egresado del Tecnológico de Monterrey.

Según el secretario, entre los proyectos de inversión están los que apuestan a la industria automotriz y autopartes, así como servicios y ventas de mayoreo.

“No hay en este momento particularmente alguna petición o proyecto de inversión con capital chino en León”, agrega Guillermo Romero Pacheco.

Desde hace muchos años están operando empresas de origen chino o se aliaron para producir suelas, accesorios, herrajes y autopartes, añade.

En la parte automotriz en los últimos cinco años llegaron entre 2 y 3 empresas de capital chino para ser proveedores de la industria automotriz a León, apunta el funcionario.

 

La presencia de China en San Luis Potosí

“Tengo conocimiento de que 4 empresas chinas llegaron al Bajío en los últimos dos años, especialmente en San Luis Potosí”, señala David Novoa Toscano, presidente de la Asociación de Empresas Proveedoras Industriales de México (Apimex).

Las empresas de origen y capital chino se dedican a la producción de autopartes para las armadoras como BMW y General Motors con fuerte presencia en San Luis Potosí, dice el empresario.

Cada vez más empresas están buscando productos mexicanos, si bien un gran porcentaje de las exportaciones de México van a Estados Unidos, hoy en día las empresas quieren y están buscando más proveeduría local y hay un tema conocido como nearshoring.

Los empresarios y empresas estadounidenses quieren el producto en dos días, porque ya no les es rentable esperar hasta seis meses los contenedores importados de Asia a puertos como Long Beach en California, destaca Novoa Toscano.

“Esperar seis meses para tener producto en Estados Unidos, pues es un mundo de tiempo en uno de los países de mayor consumo de bienes y servicios a nivel mundial”.

México, Guanajuato y León tienen la capacidad para colocar producto en sólo tres días en cualquier parte de Estados Unidos, agrega el representante de los proveedores.

“El americano viene a México a buscar más proveeduría y quien le maquile, porque ya no quieren estar en Asia y las empresas con operaciones en México les llevan un mes de ventaja en el trayecto”, expuso el presidente de Apimex.

Las empresas al dejar Asia encuentran muchas ventajas por instalarse en el Bajío, especialmente ya no dependen de la industria marítima que vive una crisis por la pandemia de Covid-19, recuerda el presidente de Apimex.

En enero de 2020, cuando se daban los primeros contagios de Covid-19, el traslado de un contenedor de 40 pies desde los puertos chinos de Shanghái, Ningbo, Yantian, Xiamen, Qingdao y Hong Kong a Lázaro Cardenás costaba sólo 2 mil dólares.

Para la tercera semana de noviembre de 2021, las navieras APM-Maersk, Mediterranean Shg Co, Cosco Group, CMA CGM Group Hapag-Lloyd, Ocean Network y Evergreen Line cobraban 13 mil 500 dólares por traer la misma caja cargada con mercancía de China a México. En octubre de 2021, el traslado de un contenedor de 40 pies llegó  a costar más de 14 mil 265 dólares.

China tiene Alibaba, JD.com y Pinduoduo entre las cinco empresas de comercio electrónico por volumen de negocios del mundo. Estados Unidos tiene a Amazon en el segundo lugar y Canadá a Shopify.

 

Source: Enrique Hernandez, Forbes Mexico

 

At the 2022 Spring Meeting in San Diego, panelists shared some of the opportunities they see in Mexico, while addressing some of the perceived challenges, both real and imagined.

Blanca Rodriguez, director of finance and capital at Marhnos Inmobiliaria, said that Mexico’s REITs, known as “FIBRAs”, help provide liquidity to the market for those looking to transact. “’How am I going to exit from these investments?’ is no longer a question,” said Blanca. “An institutional investor from anywhere in the world is welcome.”

Gonzalo Robina, CEO of FIBRA UNO, a real estate investment trust, said that many of the global events of the last decade are benefitting Mexico. Manufacturers are returning to Mexico to China and elsewhere. Even some of China’s companies are creating manufacturing facilities in Mexico to be closer to the North American customer base, said Gonzalo.

Federico Martin del Campo said that Mexico’s workforce is fairly well educated in engineering and other trades but at a lower cost.

Rodriguez said that some parts of Mexico have become destinations for “digital nomads” who can work from anywhere with Internet access.

“You don’t see too many cranes,” said Erez Cohen I, co-CEO of Urbium Property Group. “So we’re not worried about overheating or overbuilding.”

“Exchange rates have been stable, but with some of the hotels, you are getting paid in dollars with your expenses in pesos,” said Robina.

Del Campo said that in the past industrial has been somewhat recession proof as you can cut back on labor by reducing hours or shifts but you are still paying your full rent at least until the end of the lease.

Rodriguez said she sees an opportunity in the future for public private partnerships for infrastructure.

Cohen said Mexico is also home to six different unicorns, a term for tech companies with a valuation of more than $1 billion. He also sees a sees a nearly 10 million home deficit in terms of housing Mexico’s population, larger per capita than the United States.

Robina said that in the office space, most new development is the equivalent of LEED certified and energy efficient. Del Campo said that lenders are also interested in giving favorable financing to ESG compliant projects.

In response to an audience question, Carlos de Icaza, a partner with law firm Creel, García–Cuéllar, Aiza y Enríquez, said that there is some exaggeration of the issue of eviction in Mexico where ultimately it is a country of laws and courts where if you don’t pay, you eventually leave, particularly at the middle to higher income levels.

 

Source: Urban Land

El Paso, Las Cruces,and Juarez add a combined 35,000 year-over-year jobs in October, Hunt Institute says.

The jobs are coming back to the Paso del Norte region.

El Paso, Las Cruces, New Mexico, and particularly Juarez, Mexico, saw an uptick in employment in October. El Paso added 8,900 jobs in October, led by growth in services, trade and transportation, the University of Texas at El Paso’s Hunt Institute for Global Competitiveness reported on Tuesday.

The same three sectors fueled job growth in Las Cruces, which added 2,300 jobs. Juarez gained 23,900 jobs led by its signature manufacturing sector.

Juarez is home to more than 300 U.S.-run manufacturing plants and the Mexican government has designated many as essential businesses, which has spared them from COVID-19 shutdowns. Juarez has seen year-over-year employment gains for the past 15 months, according to the Hunt Institute’s December 2021 report.

But whereas El Paso’s manufacturing sector remains stagnant, it leads all major Texas cities when it comes to growth in sales tax collections, the report states.

El Paso collected $93.5 million in sales taxes during the first 10 months of the year, a 20.3 percent increase compared to pre-pandemic 2019 levels. It also collected $16 million more over the same period in 2020.

El Paso also was among the top four in the Southwest border in terms of international trade. El Paso’s ports of entry recorded an increase of 11.2 percent in trade during the first 10 months of 2021 compared to 2019, the Hunt Institute reported.

EL PASO, Texas VIA (Border Report) –

The chunks metal being worked on do not look terribly special. But the factory of Aerospace, a chemical-processing firm in Tijuana, hints at Mexico’s importance to global supply chains. These are components, from tray tables to door parts, for aircraft made by companies including Boeing, Cessna and Lockheed Martin. BAP applies surface treatments to the pieces, from submerging them in big vats of chemicals to meticulous work done by hand, before shipping them north.

Mexico has long been a hub for manufacturing. Toyota, a Japanese carmaker, has had a plant in Tijuana since 2002. Honeywell, an American industrial giant, opened one in 2010. But increasingly the country is moving into higher-value processes. It now accounts for 3-4% of aerospace imports to the United States, up from 1.5% in 2010. By contrast China’s share, which was the same as Mexico’s a decade ago, is now just 1%. American sanctions on China and tariffs on Chinese goods explain much of this change, as well as rising wages in China and the difficulty of doing business there. The trend has accelerated recently. Pandemic-induced border closures, increased freight costs, and consumers’ demands for instant gratification have all nudged firms around the world to consider shortening their supply chains.

“This is a golden opportunity for Mexico,” says Helen Wang, a consultant. The country has some natural advantages, not least a long land border with the United States. Mexico is party to fully 23 free-trade deals. Manufacturing wages are lower than in China. A survey this year by the American Chamber of Commerce of Shanghai found that a fifth of its members were considering moving some work out of China; more than a third of those who were thinking of moving were looking to Mexico.

In Tijuana the mood among many Mexican businesspeople is optimistic. Several big firms have expanded recently. Panasonic, a Japanese electronics company, opened a plant in 2018 to make cables for aerospace. Other companies are diversifying into logistics and distribution. In September this year Amazon, an e-commerce giant, opened a warehouse there, though the company denied that it would use it to serve customers in the United States.

In addition to aerospace, the manufacturing of medical devices and other electronics is booming. “We are doing things [in Mexico] that once would have had to be done in Japan or Germany,” boasts Eduardo Salcedo, the manager of the local operations of Össur, an Icelandic medical-devices company. “We have guys running a million-dollar machine with their right hand and another one with their left hand.”

Chain reaction

The result is that the richest part of the country, by the border, is becoming even better off. “Northern Mexico is growing at similar rates to Asia,” says Luis de la Calle, a consultant who used to work at Mexico’s economy ministry. Elsewhere, however, the picture is mixed. FDI fell from 3.1% of GDP in 2018 to 2.3% in 2019, compared with 3.7% in Brazil or 6.2% in Vietnam.

And despite its proximity to the United States, Mexico has its shortcomings. Business parks provide world-class facilities but the infrastructure outside—from roads to ports—is of poor quality, says Mr de la Calle. Businesses complain of problems obtaining inputs. The likes of Panasonic and Össur import many of the materials they need. Similarly Össur nearly pulled out of Tijuana because it could not find a company to apply chemical processes to its products, which include prosthetics. (BAP eventually stepped in.)

Some of the causes of Mexico’s problems are outside its control. When the government of the United States talks about “near-shoring”, it really means onshoring, says Bill Reinsch of CSIS, a think-tank in Washington. It can be protectionist in negotiations with Canada and Mexico. USMCA, the revised trade deal agreed in 2020 between the three countries, is stricter than its predecessor, NAFTA—indeed it was negotiated in part to preserve manufacturing jobs in the United States.

But Andrés Manuel López Obrador, Mexico’s populist president, has not helped. In 2018 his administration replaced one of the most business-friendly (if corrupt) governments in Mexico’s history, that of Enrique Peña Nieto. Mr López Obrador, in contrast, seems to enjoy unnerving investors.

Soon after taking office he cancelled a new airport for Mexico City, after the diggers had been working for three years, at a cost of at least $5bn. In 2020 he also pulled the plug on a $1.4bn investment in a new factory by Constellation Brands, an American brewer, which was near completion. He has weakened independent regulators by absorbing them into government or slashing their budgets.

Mr López Obrador is also reversing his predecessor’s opening of the energy industry to private firms and favouring inefficient state-owned outfits. Along with making electricity dirtier and less reliable, this sends forbidding signals to investors. In November the boss in Mexico of General Motors (GM), an American carmaker, said the company would not invest further in the country without laws that promote renewable energy. Earlier this year GM had said it would invest more than $1bn to make electric cars in Mexico from 2023. Last year Tesla, a leading maker of such cars, considered opening a factory in Mexico but opted instead for Texas. Although Tesla did not explain its reasons, Elon Musk, its boss, has grumbled about the Mexican government’s closure of some of the factories of its suppliers during covid-related lockdowns.

Mexico risks “shooting itself in the foot” by not taking advantage of shorter supply chains, says Michael Camuñez, who started a series of meetings to boost the economic relationship between Mexico and the United States during Barack Obama’s administration. (Mr López Obrador and President Joe Biden relaunched this “economic dialogue” in September.) Unfortunately it is Mr López Obrador who has his finger on the trigger and, if his past treatment of foreign investors is any guide, seems likely to pull it. 

This article appeared in the The Americas section of the print edition under the headline “Missing links” in the economist